INSCOP survey, local elections 2024. PSD and PNL dominate local councils, AUR is decreasing

An INSCOP survey carried out in April on voting intentions in local council elections shows a “much more balanced ratio” between PSD and PNL. The social democrats register a slight decrease and the liberals increase, but slightly compared to last month. The poll shows a significant drop in voting interest for AUR.

PSD-PNL balance of forces, AUR falling

An INSCOP survey on the intention to vote in the June 9 local elections, carried out in April, shows that PSD is credited with 28.4% of the votes (30.6% in March), PNL with 26.7% (25.6 in March), AUR by 14.4% (17.4% in March), ADU (USR, PMP, Forța Dreptei) by 10.8% (9.8% in March), UDMR by 5.3% (4, 0% in March), SOS Romania with 3.7% (4.3% in March), the AER Alliance with 3.3% (3.1% in March), the Pro Romania Party with 1.9% (2.4 % in March), REPER with 1.9%, PUSL with 1.6%, while a percentage of 1.9% (2.7% in March) indicates another party.

“PSD and PNL have a much more balanced ratio of voting intention for local elections, most likely reflecting the structures of mayors of the two parties. Voting intention for PSD decreases slightly, while for PNL it increases very slightly compared to last month’s measurement.

The cumulative score of PSD and PNL in the local elections is 55%, approximately 9 percent higher than the score for the PSD-PNL Alliance measured in the European Parliament elections. The intention to vote for AUR in local elections also drops significantly, which confirms the tendency of this party registered in terms of voting in European parliamentary elections”said Remus Ștefureac, director of INSCOP.

Voting intention relative to preference for a listed party

“Related to those who expressed a preference for a party from the list, regardless of whether they declare that they are sure to come to vote or not (80.6% of the total sample)”, a percentage of 28.4% indicates PSD (30.6% in March), 26.7% for PNL (25.6% in March), 14.4% for AUR (17.4% in March), 10.8% for United Right Alliance (USR, PMP, Forța Dreptei) (9.8% in March), 3.7% for SOS Romania (4.3% in March), 5.3% for UDMR (4% in March), 3.3% for the AER Alliance (Green Party, Romanian Environmental Party) (3.1% in March), 1.9% for the Pro Romania Party (2.4% in March), 1.9% for REPER, 1.6% for PUSL while a percentage of 1.9% indicates another party (2.7% in March).

Voting according to the mayoral candidate

A percentage of 56.9% declared that they would vote in the elections for the European Parliament to the party/alliance of which the favorite candidate for the mayor’s office is a member (58.1% in March). 32.3 answered that they would have another option than the above option (34.9% in March), a percentage of 4.7% are undecided (2.9% in March), while a percentage of 3 .8% declare that they will not vote (3.3% in March) and 2.4% declare no answer (0.7% in March).

“They declare that they will vote in the European Parliament elections with the party/alliance of which the preferred candidate for the mayor’s office is a member, in particular: PSD-PNL voters, people over 60, those with a lower level of education, inactive people, those with an income rural residents also reduced. I say that they will have another option in the European Parliament elections than the party/alliance of which the preferred candidate for the mayor’s office belongs, especially: ADU voters, people with a higher level of education, gray or white collar workers, urban dwellers, private employees”specified Ștefureac.

80% of PSD-PNL voters say they will vote in the European Parliament with the party/alliance of which the candidate for mayor is a member. In the case of AUR, the percentage is 57%, while in the case of ADU voters, the percentage is 45%.

What should be the priorities of the future mayor

24.4% of those asked say that the priority of the new mayor must be jobs and attracting investors. 19.4% mention health (hospitals, dispensaries), 14.2% education (schools, kindergartens, nurseries).

A percentage of 13.6% considers the development of road infrastructure to be a priority, 12.5% ​​considers that public utilities (water, street lighting, heat) are a priority, 3.7% indicates public safety, 3.3% cleanliness, 2.5% the fight against pollution, 1.8% green areas (parks, spaces, recreation areas).

“Regarding the local agenda, most Romanians are interested in creating jobs, attracting investors to their localities, building hospitals, dispensaries, schools, kindergartens, nurseries and only then road infrastructure and utilities. It is a mature vision of a population that is beginning to correctly understand the order of priorities for sustainable, balanced development and an improved quality of life”says the director of INSCOP.