PSD, PNL, USR and AUR have experienced declines in the polls over the past four years, in some cases close to halving their percentages, as well as substantial increases in voting intention as alliances have formed and broken up, according to the opinion polls carried out at the national level by CURS.
PSD is in a favorable electoral moment
After winning the December 2020 parliamentary elections and not being granted the position of prime minister by the head of state, the PSD remained above the 30% threshold in the polls. The Social-Democrats reached the “peak form” even before they entered the government, so that in October 2021 the PSD caught 39% in the polls.
The governing association with the PNL cost the PSD 3-4 percent in vote intention, and PSD’s takeover of the premiership was initially ominous for the party, with the social democrats entering the polls with 30% in the 2024 election year.
In the latest CURS national survey conducted by CURS, PSD rose to 37% in April.
The Liberals have recovered
After a score of 25.4% in the 2020 parliamentary elections, PNL became the first violin in the government alongside USR and UDMR.
From being the dominant governing party, the PNL suffered a collapse in voting intention, and the alliance with the PSD further damaged the party, so that the Liberals bottomed out in January 2022 with only 16% voting intention.
After a brief “revival” of the party at 23-24%, the PNL continued to evolve in voting intention around 19-20%, and in the last CURS opinion poll the liberals jumped to 25%.
The watchword at PNL and PSD is “stability”, this being invoked to maintain the alliance despite the ideological differences between the two formations.
USR found its lifeline, AUR plays to extremes
The entry and exit of USR from the government, with the rigor scandal, cost the party almost half of the electoral dowry. The USR had reached from 15.6% in December 2020 to 8% in the summer of 2022, and against the background of internal struggles and the emergence of the competitor REPER, the USR-ists remained in a beach of 10-12% in the polls. With the formation of the right-wing alliance with PMP and Forța Dreptei, the new political construction registered an increase in voting intention and stood at 14% in April, according to CURS polls.
After entering the Parliament, AUR did not deflate, on the contrary, it went up to 16% in voting intention immediately after PNL and PSD joined the government. The “Rocade” of prime ministers and the installation of a PSD prime minister at the Victoria Palace coincided with the rise of AUR in the polls to a maximum of 20-21%. But with the beginning of the 2024 election year, AUR began a decline, the party being rated with 10% in the latest CURS survey at the national level, from April.
Tags: voting intention changed parties governing alliances surveys
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