Celtics vs. Heat Game 3 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds – April 27

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In Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs, the Boston Celtics will go up against the Miami Heat. The Celtics are currently solid 8-point favorites against the Heat. The over/under for the game is set at 205.

Here is everything you need to know about the Celtics-Heat game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Celtics vs. Heat Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: TNT, NBCS-BOS, and BSSUN

Celtics vs. Heat Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (+ 8)
O/U Pick: over (205)
Score Prediction: Celtics 116 – Heat 108

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Insights

• Of 82 games so far this year, the Celtics have played 76 with more than 205 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under.
• This year, 65 of the Heat’s 82 games have had a combined total of more than 205 points scored.
• Between them, these two teams average 25.7 more points per game (230.7) than this game’s over/under (205).
• The Celtics and the Heat have seen their opponents average a combined 12.6 more points per game than the point total of 205 set for this game.
• Boston has been chosen as the favorite in 78 games this year and has walked away with the win 62 times (79.5%) in those games.
• Miami has come away with 11 wins in the 35 contests it has been listed as the underdog this season.
• Boston has come out on top in four of its last five head-to-head matchups against Miami.
• The Heat have a 3-2 record against the spread when taking on the Celtics.

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in their last 10 games.
• Boston’s average total over the last 10 games is 15.1 points more than the 205 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Celtics have played 82 games, with 42 wins against the spread.
• Boston has been favored by 8 points or more 49 times this season and is 25-21-3 ATS in those contests.
• Celtics games this year have gone over the point a total of 43 times in 82 opportunities (52.4%).
• The 120.6 points per game the Celtics put up are 12.2 more points than the Heat allow (108.4).
• Boston is 40-25-3 against the spread and 58-10 overall when scoring more than 108.4 points.
• This season, the Celtics have a 48.7% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.0% higher than the 46.7% of shots the Heat’s opponents have hit.
• When playing at home, the Celtics have a better record against the spread (23-17-1) compared to their ATS record in road games (19-19-3).
• Looking at point totals, Boston hits the over more often when playing at home, as it has gone over the total 22 times in 41 opportunities this season (53.7%). On the road, it has hit the over 21 times in 41 opportunities (51.2%).
• The Celtics have won a higher percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 37-4 (.902). In road games as a moneyline favorite, they own a record of 25-12 (.676).

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• Jayson Tatum posts 26.9 points, 8.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.0 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Jaylen Brown posts 23.0 points, 3.6 assists and 5.5 boards per contest.
• Derrick White averages 15.2 points, 4.2 boards and 5.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steals and 1.2 blocks.
• Kristaps Porzingis puts up 20.1 points, 7.2 boards and 2.0 assists per game, shooting 51.6% from the field and 37.5% from downtown with 1.9 made treys per contest.
• Jrue Holiday posts 12.5 points, 5.4 boards and 4.8 assists per game. At the other end he averages 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocks.

Celtics Player Props

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall in their past 10 games.
• Miami’s average total over the last 10 games is 9.9 points greater than the 205 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Heat are 41-39-2 against the spread this year.
• So far this season, Miami has been installed as underdogs by an 8-point margin or more six times and is 3-3 ATS in those contests.
• Heat games this year have gone over the point total 42.7% of the time (35 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Heat’s 110.1 points per game are only 0.9 more points than the 109.2 the Celtics allow.
• Miami has put together a 28-12-1 ATS record and a 33-8 overall record in games it scores more than 109.2 points.
• The Heat have shot at a 46.5% rate from the field this season, 1.2 percentage points greater than the 45.3% shooting opponents of the Celtics have averaged.
• In 2023-24 against the spread, the Heat have a lower winning percentage at home (.390, 16-25-0 record) than away (.610, 25-14-2).
• Looking at the over/under, Miami’s games have gone over 21 of 41 times at home (51.2%), and 14 of 41 on the road (34.1%).
• The Heat, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (22-9) than away (13-3) this year.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo delivers 19.3 points, 10.4 rebounds and 3.9 assists per game for the Heat.
• The Heat are getting 19.8 points, 4.0 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game from Terry Rozier this year.
• Jaime Jaquez is averaging 11.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. He is draining 48.9% of his shots from the field.
• Duncan Robinson is putting up 12.9 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. He is draining 45.0% of his shots from the field and 39.5% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 treys per contest.
• Tyler Herro gets the Heat 20.8 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game while delivering 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

Heat Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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