Russian forces are trying to achieve “tactical gains” northwest of Avdiivka, but the main offensive operation is still in the direction of Ceasiv Iar, claim military analysts from the Institute for the Study of War, according to The Kyiv Independent, according to digi24.ro.
Ceasiv Iar is located in the Donetsk region, about 10 kilometers west of Bakhmut and 50 kilometers north of Avdiivka, cities captured by Russia in May 2023 and February 2024, respectively.
Russian forces have concentrated their efforts near Cheasiv Yar, which they see as crucial for further advances towards the nearby towns of Kostiantynivka, Kramatorsk and Sloviansk, according to the Ukrainian military.
ISW argues that while it is possible for Russian forces to make some gains northwest of Avdiivka, an offensive in the area is “unlikely to develop into an operationally significant penetration, let alone cause the collapse Ukrainian defenses west of Avdiivka”.
The operation to capture the city of Ceasiv Iar has the greatest short-term potential to be an operational victory for Russian forces, ISW added.
The capture of Ceasiv Iar would represent an opportunity for Russia to “launch further offensive operations against cities that form a significant Ukrainian defensive belt in the Donetsk region,” military analysts say.
Nazar Voloshyn, spokesman for the Khortytsia Forces Group, said on April 22 that between 20,000 and 25,000 Russian soldiers are trying to storm Ceasiv Iar and surrounding settlements.
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Tags: Putin conquer Ceasiv Iar cost Russian soldiers storm town eastern Ukraine
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