Voting intentions for local councils

PSD is credited with 28.4% of voting intentions in local council elections, PNL with 26.7%, AUR with 14.4%, according to a survey carried out by INSCOP on behalf of News.ro, in April. The data indicate a decrease of more than 2 percent for the PSD, an increase of more than 1 percent for the PNL and a decrease of 3 percent for the AUR, compared to the March survey.

Political voting in local elections

Voting intention for political parties in local elections (for the Local Council of the city / commune) reported to respondents who express their preference for a party from the list – 80.6% of the total sample

Reported to those who expressed their preference for a party from the list, regardless of whether they declare that they will definitely vote or not (80.6% of the total sample):

• 28.4% of voters indicate PSD (compared to 30.6% in March)
• 26.7% PNL (compared to 25.6% in March)
• 14.4% AUR (compared to 17.4% in March)
• 10.8% United Right Alliance (USR, PMP, Forza Dreptei) (compared to 9.8% in March)
• 3.7% SOS Romania (compared to 4.3% in March)
• 5.3% UDMR (compared to 4% in March)
• 3.3% AER Alliance (Green Party, Romanian Environmental Party) (compared to 3.1% in March)
• 1.9% Pro Romania Party (compared to 2.4% in March)
• 1.9% REMARK
• 1.6% PUSL

1.9% indicate another party (compared to 2.7% in March).

Local, European parliamentary – how the options change

56.9% of those interviewed say that they will vote in the European Parliament elections with the party/alliance of which the preferred candidate for mayor belongs (compared to 58.1% in March).

32.3% say that they will have another option in the European Parliament elections than the party/alliance of which the preferred candidate for mayor belongs (34.9% in March).

4.7% say that they have not decided (2.9% in March), 3.8% that they are not going to vote (3.3% in March), and 2.4% do not answer (0.7% in March).

Declare that they will vote in the European Parliament elections with the party/alliance of which the preferred candidate for mayor belongs, in particular: PSD-PNL voters, people over 60, those with a lower level of education, inactive people, those with a low income and rural residents.

I say that they will have another option in the European Parliament elections than the party/alliance of which the preferred candidate for mayor belongs, especially: ADU voters, people with a higher level of education, gray or white collar workers, urban dwellers, private employees.

Citizens’ agenda for local

When asked what should be the priority of the future mayor of their locality, 24.4% mention the creation of jobs and attracting investors, 19.4% health (hospitals, dispensaries, etc.) and 14.2% education (schools, kindergartens, nurseries).

13.6% indicates the development of road infrastructure/streets, roads, 12.5% ​​public utilities (water, sewer, public lighting, heating, etc.), 3.7% public safety, 3.3% cleanliness, 2.5% combating pollution (air, water, soil), 1.8% parks/green spaces/recreation areas.

2.6% mention another priority, and 2.1% do not know or do not answer this question.

The intention to vote for AUR in local elections drops significantly

“PSD and PNL have a much more balanced ratio in terms of voting intention for local elections, most likely reflecting the structures of mayors of the two parties. The voting intention for the PSD decreases slightly, while for the PNL it increases very slightly compared to last month’s measurement. The cumulative score of PSD and PNL in the local elections is 55%, approximately 9 percent higher than the score for the PSD-PNL Alliance measured in the European Parliament elections. The intention to vote for AUR in local elections also drops significantly, which confirms the trend of this party registered in terms of voting in the European Parliament elections”, says Remus Ştefureac, director of INSCOP Research.

In his opinion, the data from April confirm the fact that approximately one third of the voters will have a different voting option in the European Parliament elections than the party of which the preferred mayor belongs, which partially disproves the thesis regarding the transfer of votes from mayors to parties, but ” the pool of PSD-PNL voters remains the most disciplined”.

Technical details of the survey

The opinion poll was carried out by INSCOP Research at the behest of News.ro Press Agency. The data were collected between April 12 and 20, through the CATI method (telephone interviews), through the questionnaire.

The volume of the simple, stratified sample is 1,100 people, representative of the significant socio-demographic categories (sex, age, occupation) for the non-institutionalized population of Romania, aged 18 and over.

The maximum allowable error of the data is ± 2.95% at a confidence level of 95%.

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