PSD is credited with 28.4% of voting intentions in local council elections, PNL with 26.7%, AUR with 14.4%, according to a survey carried out by INSCOP commissioned by News.ro, in April, the data indicating a decrease of more than 2 percent for PSD, an increase of more than 1 percent for PNL and a decrease of 3 percent for AUR, compared to the March survey. More than half of those interviewed say that they will vote in the European Parliament elections with the party of which the preferred candidate for mayor belongs, the most numerous in this category being PSD-PNL voters.
Voting intention for political parties in local elections (for the Local Council of the city / commune) reported to respondents who express their preference for a party from the list – 80.6% of the total sample
Compared to those who expressed a preference for a party from the list, regardless of whether they declare that they will vote for sure or not (80.6% of the total sample), 28.4% of voters indicate PSD (compared to 30.6% in March), 26.7% PNL ( compared to 25.6% in March), 14.4% AUR (compared to 17.4% in March), 10.8% Alianta Dreapta Unita (USR, PMP, Forta Dreptei) (compared to 9.8% in March), 3.7% SOS Romania (compared to 4.3 % in March), 5.3% UDMR (compared to 4% in March), 3.3% Alianta AER (Green Party, Romanian Ecologist Party) (compared to 3.1% in March), 1.9% Pro Romania Party (compared to 2.4% in March ), 1.9% REFER, 1.6% PUSL. 1.9% indicate another party (compared to 2.7% in March).
Voting behavior depending on the preferred mayoral candidate
56.9% of those interviewed say that they will vote in the European Parliament elections with the party/alliance of which the preferred candidate for mayor belongs (compared to 58.1% in March). 32.3% say that they will have another option in the European Parliament elections than the party/alliance of which the preferred candidate for mayor belongs (34.9% in March). 4.7% say they haven’t decided (2.9% in March), 3.8% say they won’t vote (3.3% in March), and 2.4% don’t answer (0.7% in March).
Declare that they will vote in the European Parliament elections with the party/alliance of which the preferred candidate for mayor belongs, in particular: PSD-PNL voters, people over 60, those with a lower level of education, inactive people, those with a low income and rural residents. I say that they will have another option in the European Parliament elections than the party/alliance of which the preferred candidate for mayor belongs, especially: ADU voters, people with a higher level of education, gray or white collar workers, urban dwellers, private employees.
Agenda of citizens for local elections. The priority of the future mayor
When you ask what should be the priority of the future mayor of their locality, 24.4% mention the creation of jobs and attracting investors, 19.4% health (hospitals, dispensaries, etc.) and 14.2% education (schools, kindergartens, nurseries). 13.6% indicates the development of road infrastructure/streets, roads, 12.5% public utilities (water, sewer, public lighting, heating, etc.), 3.7% public safety, 3.3% cleanliness, 2.5% combating pollution (air, water, soil), 1.8% parks/green spaces/recreation areas. 2.6% mention another priority, and 2.1% do not know or do not answer this question.
“PSD and PNL have a much more balanced ratio in terms of voting intention for local elections, most likely reflecting the structures of mayors of the two parties. The voting intention for PSD decreases slightly, while for PNL it increases very slightly compared to last month’s measurement. The cumulative score of the PSD and PNL in the local elections is 55%, approximately 9 percent higher than the score for the PSD-PNL Alliance measured in the European Parliament elections. The intention to vote for AUR in the local elections also drops significantly, which confirms the trend of this party recorded in terms of voting in the European Parliament elections”, says Remus Stefureac, director of INSCOP Research.
In his opinion, the data from April confirm the fact that approximately one third of the voters will have another voting option in the European Parliament elections than the party of which the preferred mayor belongs, which partially disproves the thesis regarding the transfer of votes from mayors to parties, but ” the pool of PSD-PNL voters remains the most disciplined”.
“Regarding the local agenda, most Romanians are interested in creating jobs, attracting investors to their localities, building hospitals, dispensaries, schools, kindergartens, nurseries and only then road infrastructure and utilities. It is a mature vision of a population that is beginning to correctly understand the order of priorities for a sustainable, balanced development and an improved quality of life”, notes Stefureac.
The opinion poll was conducted by INSCOP Research at the behest of News.ro Press Agency. The data were collected between April 12 and 20, through the CATI method (telephone interviews), through the questionnaire. The volume of the simple, stratified sample is 1,100 people, representative of the significant socio-demographic categories (sex, age, occupation) for the non-institutionalized population of Romania, aged 18 and over.
The maximum allowed error of the data is ± 2.95%, at a confidence level of 95%.
