An American general unravels the secret: Ukraine is not winning the war against Putin for an unknown reason

An American general unravels the secret: Ukraine is not winning the war against Putin for an unknown reason
An American general unravels the secret: Ukraine is not winning the war against Putin for an unknown reason
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Putin’s war in Ukraine continues despite the hundreds of thousands of casualties of the Red Army, and its evolution is in unpredictable dynamics. Now US General Mark Kimmit unravels the secret behind Ukraine not winning the conflict with Russia.

He says the way the West is currently helping Ukraine militarily will not be enough to win the battle against Putin.

Moscow sees the West’s reticence and caution to send Ukraine top-notch weapons at a sustained pace as signs of weakness, giving it an advantage on the battlefield, according to Politico.

After six months of debate, the US finally passed the additional aid package for Ukraine a few weeks ago. But while the munitions may soon reach frontline troops, the truth is that unless the US and its allies change the way they wage war, it will likely be too little, too late.

Two years ago, respected military analyst Seth Jones observed that the Russian military was collapsing. But in a sudden reversal of fortunes, he now expresses a far more worrying view that the Ukrainian military is “in an increasingly dangerous position against their Russian invaders”. And while it’s still too early for talk of defeat, Jones rightly observed that “without a clear US strategy and a sustained supply of Western arms, intelligence and training, Putin could prevail.”

Such a strategy would require at least three elements to slow and reverse Russia’s advance: First, the US administration and its NATO allies would have to loosen restrictive employment rules they have imposed on Western-supplied equipment, allowing Ukraine to use that equipment to its full potential.

Britain has already eased employment rules, but restrictions imposed by others, preventing Ukraine from launching cross-border attacks and hitting the crown jewels of Russian deployments such as the Black Sea fleet, must end.

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Concern over Russian escalation has allowed the West to talk itself into inaction and self-deterrence. But if Israel’s response to last month’s Iranian drone and missile attack proved anything, it’s that a strong response — not self-deterrence — is the best way to deal with totalitarian threats. Autocrats in Moscow see restraint and caution as signs of weakness; they see strength in determination.

It is time for the West to take more risks in Ukraine

Second, it is time to take greater risks with US and Western military stockpiles. While the addition allows US President Joe Biden to dip into existing inventories of weapons and ammunition, a large amount of ready and lethal equipment remains retained for other contingencies, training and testing worldwide.

This stockpile of resources is completely understandable, as commanders around the globe want to make sure they are, as General Paul LaCamera—the US commander in South Korea—always reminds his troops, “ready to fight, tonight.” .

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Overall, U.S. military officials note that the current risk in supporting Ukraine is “manageable,” but it’s time to take a little more risk and dip deeper into those stocks to avoid potential defeat. Winning wars is expensive, but not as expensive as losing them, says retired US Army General Mark Kimmitt.

Finally, the US administration needs to provide much more leadership to inspire the West to stay in this fight. Democracies are restless, and other world events often shift their focus. Already, Gaza and the potential for a regional war in the Middle East, the upcoming US presidential election and the trials of former President Donald Trump are distracting from the deteriorating situation in Ukraine.

In Ukraine, the current war of attrition favors Putin’s strategy. It is a costly drain in men, material and morale, and Ukraine’s recent setbacks must not be allowed to precede a full Russian counterattack in late spring or summer.

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Putin remains convinced, as Tolstoy once wrote, that “time and patience are my strongest warriors.” But this may not be the season where the maxim proves correct.

A congressional supplement was needed, but not enough to reverse the deteriorating situation in Ukraine. It is time to loosen the shackles we have put on Zelenski and let him use the weapons and equipment we provide.

It’s time to take a risk with our war stocks and give Zelenski what his soldiers need. It’s time to remind this country what Putin tells his country every day – that a loss in Ukraine is a threat to our own security.

The article is in Romanian

Tags: American general unravels secret Ukraine winning war Putin unknown reason

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